Effected Road Traffic Deaths over rising Vehicle Growth a Linear relation: A Case of KPK, Pakist

Abstract

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Road safety accompanying the growing numbers of Road Traffic Deaths (RTDs), is an alarming issue of the present century which is also recognized in WHO agenda-2030. All countries across the globe are facing this issue, but it pertains in developing world where rapid motorization results into high mortality rates. This study considered Pakistan, a developing country from Global south to discuss the issue of RTDs and its relationship with rapid vehicle growth. The objective of the study is to highlight the present situation of road safety especially RTDs and develop models to identify the possible impacts of vehicle growth on RTDs. Linear Regression was performed to develop three models to explain RTDs vs registered vehicle, registered motor cars and registered motorcycles respectively. Descriptive statistics shows the increasing trend of all selected variables which further explained by liner regression equation. Results indicates that annual proportional change in RTDs explain by total registered vehicles, motor cars and motorcycles are 84%, 66% and 80% respectively and comparatively motor cars, motorcycles contributing more arise of RTDs. Study highlights the need of attention towards RTDs and provide models to predict increasing RTDs with vehicle growth. Study is significant as it highlights present situation of the road safety and guide the transportation planners in preparing prevention measures by considering vehicle growth impacts.